Raporo y’umuryango w’ubucuruzi ku isi ku bijyanye n’ubucuruzi bw’ubucuruzi ku isi na Outlook yashyizwe ahagaragara n’umuryango w’ubucuruzi ku isi yavuze ko kubera ko ubukungu bw’isi bwifashe neza mu gihembwe cya gatatu, muri rusange ibikorwa by’ubucuruzi ku isi muri uyu mwaka bizaba byiza kuruta uko byari byitezwe mbere.Icyakora, impuguke mu by'ubukungu bw’umuryango w’abibumbye zamenyesheje kandi ko mu gihe kirekire, amahirwe yo kuzamuka kw’ubucuruzi bw’isi yose atagifite icyizere bitewe n’ikibazo kidashidikanywaho nk’iterambere ry’icyorezo.Ibi bizazana ibibazo bishya mubushinwa bwohereza ibicuruzwa hanze.

Imikorere yubucuruzi yari nziza cyane kurenza uko byari byitezwe

Raporo ya “Global Trade Data and Outlook” yerekana ko ubucuruzi ku isi bugabanuka ku gipimo cya 9.2% muri 2020, kandi imikorere y’ubucuruzi bw’isi ikaba nziza kuruta uko byari byitezwe.WTO yahanuye muri Mata uyu mwaka ko ubucuruzi bw'isi buzagabanukaho 13% kugeza 32% muri 2020.

WTO yasobanuye ko uyu mwaka ibikorwa by’ubucuruzi ku isi byari byiza kuruta uko byari byitezwe, bimwe bikaba byatewe n’ishyirwa mu bikorwa rya politiki ikomeye y’ifaranga n’imisoro n’ibihugu byinshi kugira ngo bishyigikire amafaranga yinjira mu gihugu ndetse n’amasosiyete, ibyo bikaba byaratumye izamuka ryihuse ry’ibicuruzwa n’ibitumizwa mu mahanga nyuma ya "Gufungura" no kwihutisha ibikorwa byubukungu kugarura.

Imibare irerekana ko mu gihembwe cya kabiri cy'uyu mwaka, ubucuruzi ku isi bwaragabanutse ku mateka, ukwezi kugabanuka ku kwezi 14.3%.Nyamara, kuva muri Kamena kugeza muri Nyakanga, ubucuruzi bwisi yose bwakoze cyane, burekura ikimenyetso cyiza cyo kugabanuka no kuzamura ibyifuzo byubucuruzi bwumwaka wose.Igipimo cy’ubucuruzi bw’ibicuruzwa bifitanye isano n’ibyorezo nk’ibikoresho by’ubuvuzi byiyongereye ku cyerekezo, kikaba cyaragabanije igice cy’ingaruka zo kugabanuka mu bucuruzi mu zindi nganda.Muri byo, ibikoresho byo kurinda umuntu ku giti cye byagize iterambere "biturika" mu gihe cy’icyorezo, kandi ubucuruzi bw’isi yose bwiyongereyeho 92% mu gihembwe cya kabiri.

Umuyobozi mukuru wa OMS, impuguke mu by'ubukungu, Robert Koopman, yavuze ko nubwo igabanuka ry’ubucuruzi bw’isi muri uyu mwaka ugereranije n’ihungabana mpuzamahanga ry’imari ya 2008-2009, ugereranije n’ubunini bw’imihindagurikire y’ibicuruzwa byinjira mu gihugu (GDP) mu gihe cy’ibibazo byombi, imikorere y’ubucuruzi ku isi yarushijeho kwihanganira icyorezo muri uyu mwaka.Umuryango mpuzamahanga w’ubucuruzi uteganya ko GDP ku isi izagabanukaho 4.8% muri uyu mwaka, bityo igabanuka ry’ubucuruzi bw’isi rikaba ryikubye kabiri igabanuka ry’umusaruro rusange w’isi, naho kugabanuka kw’ubucuruzi ku isi mu 2009 bikubye inshuro 6 ibyo GDP byinjira ku isi.

Uturere n'inganda zitandukanye

Coleman Lee, impuguke mu by'ubukungu mu ishyirahamwe ry’ubucuruzi ku isi, yabwiye abanyamakuru ko igipimo cy’ibyoherezwa mu Bushinwa mu gihe cy’icyorezo cyari hejuru y’uko byari byitezwe, mu gihe icyifuzo cy’ibicuruzwa byatumijwe mu mahanga cyagumye gihamye, ibyo bikaba byaragize uruhare mu kongera ubucuruzi bw’imbere mu karere muri Aziya.

Mugihe kimwe, mugihe cyicyorezo, imikorere yubucuruzi bwisi yose mubikorwa bitandukanye ntabwo ari bimwe.Mu gihembwe cya kabiri, ubucuruzi bw’isi yose ku bicuruzwa biva mu bucukuzi n’ibicuruzwa byacukuwe byagabanutseho 38% kubera ibintu nko kugabanuka kw'ibiciro no kugabanuka gukabije mu gukoresha.Muri icyo gihe kimwe, ubucuruzi bwibicuruzwa byubuhinzi nkibikenerwa buri munsi byagabanutseho 5% gusa.Mu nganda zikora inganda, ibinyabiziga byibasiwe cyane nicyorezo.Ingaruka ziterwa no gutanga isoko no kugabanya abaguzi, ubucuruzi rusange bwisi yose mugihembwe cya kabiri bwagabanutse kurenga kimwe cya kabiri;mugihe kimwe, igipimo cyubucuruzi muri mudasobwa nibicuruzwa bya farumasi byiyongereye.Nka kimwe mubikenewe mubuzima bwabantu, ubukorikori-burimunsi-burimunsi nibyingenzi kubyara umusaruro mugihe cyibyorezo.

Amahirwe yo gukira ntazwi neza

WTO yihanangirije ko kubera iterambere ry’ejo hazaza ndetse n’ingamba zishoboka zo kurwanya icyorezo zashyizwe mu bikorwa n’ibihugu bitandukanye, amahirwe yo gukira aracyafite amakenga.Raporo ivuguruye ya “Global Trade Data and Outlook” yagabanije umuvuduko w’iterambere ry’ubucuruzi bw’isi mu 2021 uva kuri 21.3% ugera kuri 7.2%, ashimangira ko ubucuruzi bw’umwaka utaha buzaba munsi y’urwego mbere y’icyorezo.

Raporo ivuguruye ya “Global Trade Data and Outlook” yizera ko mu gihe giciriritse, niba ubukungu bw’isi bushobora kugera ku iterambere rirambye bizaterwa ahanini n’imikorere y’ishoramari n’akazi kazoza, kandi imikorere yombi ikaba ifitanye isano rya bugufi n’icyizere cy’amasosiyete.Niba icyorezo cyongeye kwiyongera mu gihe kizaza kandi guverinoma ikongera gushyira mu bikorwa ingamba zo “gukumira”, icyizere cy’ibigo nacyo kizahungabana.

Mu gihe kirekire, kwiyongera kw'imyenda ya Leta bizagira ingaruka no ku bucuruzi ku isi no kuzamuka mu bukungu, kandi ibihugu bidateye imbere birashobora guhura n'umutwaro uremereye.